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QPR - Swansea

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: 2

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: 15.20%

📊 Key Factors:
✓ Отличный исторический ROI: 15.20% ✓ Сильная ценность: историческая вероятность 40.0% против подразумеваемой 50.0% ✓ Внимание: Отрицательный тренд ROI в последних матчах
⚠️ Risks:
⚠ Высокая волатильность в тренде ROI
📈 Detailed Analysis:
На основе комплексного анализа 11 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (2-3-1) vs Гостевая команда (2-0-3)
• Анализ ROI: Дома -23.00%, Ничья -8.36%, Гости 15.20%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 33.3%, Ничья 27.3%, Победа гостей 40.0%
• Текущая форма: Дома 0.50, Гости 0.33

Рекомендуемая ставка: 2 с уровнем уверенности 12%.
Ожидаемая доходность: 15.20% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: �������
Probability Analysis
Home: 33.3%
Draw: 27.3%
Away: 40.0%
Form & Advantage
Home Advantage: -6.7%
Form Difference: 0.17
Value Index: 6.08
Home Form 🔥: 0.50
Guest Form 🔥: 0.33
xG (H/A): 1.57 / 1.03
Current ROI
Home: -23.00%
Draw: -8.36%
Away: 15.20%
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 1X2 Total2.5 BTS
england/championship 04/15/2026 23:00:00 QPR Swansea 2.31 3.36 2.88 +5=3-3 +7-4 +8-3

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

QPR

 +2=3-1 +3-3 +4-2

Swansea

 +2=0-3 +4-1 +4-1

Total

 +5=3-3 +7-4 +8-3

ROI Progression Analysis

# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 21.09.2024 QPR vs Millwall X -100.00% 1 0.00
2 06.01.2025 QPR vs Luton 1 15.50% 2 2.31
3 05.04.2025 QPR vs Cardiff X -23.00% 3 2.31
4 06.12.2025 QPR vs West Brom 1 15.50% 4 4.62
5 24.01.2026 QPR vs Wrexham 2 -7.60% 5 4.62
6 11.04.2026 QPR vs Bristol City X -23.00% 6 4.62
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 21.09.2024 QPR vs Millwall X 236.00% 1 3.36
2 27.11.2024 Derby vs Swansea 2 68.00% 2 3.36
3 21.12.2024 Hull vs Swansea 1 12.00% 3 3.36
4 06.01.2025 QPR vs Luton 1 -16.00% 4 3.36
5 15.02.2025 Stoke vs Swansea 1 -32.80% 5 3.36
6 05.04.2025 QPR vs Cardiff X 12.00% 6 6.72
7 30.09.2025 Blackburn vs Swansea 2 -4.00% 7 6.72
8 06.12.2025 QPR vs West Brom 1 -16.00% 8 6.72
9 24.01.2026 QPR vs Wrexham 2 -25.33% 9 6.72
10 14.02.2026 Derby vs Swansea 1 -32.80% 10 6.72
11 11.04.2026 QPR vs Bristol City X -8.36% 11 10.08
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 27.11.2024 Derby vs Swansea 2 188.00% 1 2.88
2 21.12.2024 Hull vs Swansea 1 44.00% 2 2.88
3 15.02.2025 Stoke vs Swansea 1 -4.00% 3 2.88
4 30.09.2025 Blackburn vs Swansea 2 44.00% 4 5.76
5 14.02.2026 Derby vs Swansea 1 15.20% 5 5.76
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
england/championship 01/06/2025 00:00:00

QPR

 Luton 2.40 3.15 3.05 2:1
england/championship 09/21/2024 00:00:00

QPR

 Millwall 2.37 3.21 3.10 1:1
england/championship 04/05/2025 00:00:00

QPR

 Cardiff 2.28 3.23 3.23 0:0
england/championship 12/06/2025 00:00:00

QPR

 West Brom 2.39 3.32 3.04 3:1
england/championship 01/24/2026 00:00:00

QPR

 Wrexham 2.37 3.26 3.03 2:3
england/championship 04/11/2026 00:00:00

QPR

 Bristol City 2.32 3.37 3.09 0:0
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
england/championship 12/21/2024 00:00:00 Hull

Swansea

 2.42 3.28 2.92 2:1
england/championship 11/27/2024 00:00:00 Derby

Swansea

 2.55 3.16 2.86 1:2
england/championship 02/15/2025 00:00:00 Stoke

Swansea

 2.40 3.26 2.96 3:1
england/championship 09/30/2025 00:00:00 Blackburn

Swansea

 2.45 3.11 2.91 1:2
england/championship 02/14/2026 00:00:00 Derby

Swansea

 2.47 3.16 2.87 2:0