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West Brom - Watford

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: 2

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: 38.86%

📊 Key Factors:
✓ Отличный исторический ROI: 38.86% ✓ Сильная ценность: историческая вероятность 42.9% против подразумеваемой 33.0% ✓ Положительный тренд ROI в последних матчах ✓ Отличная текущая форма
⚠️ Risks:
⚠ Высокая волатильность в тренде ROI
📈 Detailed Analysis:
На основе комплексного анализа 13 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (2-2-2) vs Гостевая команда (3-2-2)
• Анализ ROI: Дома -30.33%, Ничья 4.62%, Гости 38.86%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 33.3%, Ничья 30.8%, Победа гостей 42.9%
• Текущая форма: Дома 0.53, Гости 0.73

Рекомендуемая ставка: 2 с уровнем уверенности 19%.
Ожидаемая доходность: 38.86% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: �������
Probability Analysis
Home: 33.3%
Draw: 30.8%
Away: 42.9%
Form & Advantage
Home Advantage: -9.5%
Form Difference: -0.20
Value Index: 16.65

Home Form 🔥: 0.53
Guest Form 🔥: 0.73
xG (H/A): 1.50 / 1.70
Current ROI
Home: -30.33%
Draw: 4.62%
Away: 38.86%
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 1X2 Total2.5 BTS
england/championship 04/16/2026 05:00:00 West Brom Watford 2.09 3.40 3.24 +4=4-5 +10-3 +9-4

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

West Brom

+2=2-2 +5-1 +3-3

Watford

+3=2-2 +5-2 +6-1

Total

+4=4-5 +10-3 +9-4

ROI Progression Analysis

# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 08.02.2025 West Brom vs Sheffield Wed 1 109.00% 1 2.09
2 26.12.2025 West Brom vs Bristol City 2 4.50% 2 2.09
3 20.01.2026 West Brom vs Norwich 2 -30.33% 3 2.09
4 07.02.2026 West Brom vs Stoke X -47.75% 4 2.09
5 14.03.2026 West Brom vs Hull 1 -16.40% 5 4.18
6 03.04.2026 West Brom vs Wrexham X -30.33% 6 4.18
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 10.08.2024 Millwall vs Watford 2 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 21.09.2024 Norwich vs Watford 1 -100.00% 2 0.00
3 14.01.2025 Cardiff vs Watford X 13.33% 3 3.40
4 08.02.2025 West Brom vs Sheffield Wed 1 -15.00% 4 3.40
5 09.08.2025 Charlton vs Watford 1 -32.00% 5 3.40
6 01.10.2025 Portsmouth vs Watford X 13.33% 6 6.80
7 22.11.2025 Derby vs Watford 2 -2.86% 7 6.80
8 26.12.2025 West Brom vs Bristol City 2 -15.00% 8 6.80
9 26.12.2025 Leicester vs Watford 2 -24.44% 9 6.80
10 20.01.2026 West Brom vs Norwich 2 -32.00% 10 6.80
11 07.02.2026 West Brom vs Stoke X -7.27% 11 10.20
12 14.03.2026 West Brom vs Hull 1 -15.00% 12 10.20
13 03.04.2026 West Brom vs Wrexham X 4.62% 13 13.60
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 10.08.2024 Millwall vs Watford 2 224.00% 1 3.24
2 21.09.2024 Norwich vs Watford 1 62.00% 2 3.24
3 14.01.2025 Cardiff vs Watford X 8.00% 3 3.24
4 09.08.2025 Charlton vs Watford 1 -19.00% 4 3.24
5 01.10.2025 Portsmouth vs Watford X -35.20% 5 3.24
6 22.11.2025 Derby vs Watford 2 8.00% 6 6.48
7 26.12.2025 Leicester vs Watford 2 38.86% 7 9.72
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
england/championship 02/08/2025 00:00:00

West Brom

Sheffield Wed 2.11 3.43 3.47 2:1
england/championship 12/26/2025 00:00:00

West Brom

Bristol City 2.09 3.41 3.61 1:2
england/championship 01/20/2026 00:00:00

West Brom

Norwich 2.03 3.48 3.66 0:5
england/championship 02/07/2026 00:00:00

West Brom

Stoke 2.11 3.19 3.54 0:0
england/championship 03/14/2026 00:00:00

West Brom

Hull 2.07 3.36 3.62 3:0
england/championship 04/03/2026 00:00:00

West Brom

Wrexham 2.14 3.39 3.45 2:2
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
england/championship 01/14/2025 00:00:00 Cardiff

Watford

2.28 3.24 3.21 1:1
england/championship 09/21/2024 00:00:00 Norwich

Watford

2.05 3.64 3.38 4:1
england/championship 08/10/2024 00:00:00 Millwall

Watford

2.37 3.13 3.21 2:3
england/championship 08/09/2025 00:00:00 Charlton

Watford

2.31 3.30 3.17 1:0
england/championship 10/01/2025 00:00:00 Portsmouth

Watford

2.28 3.22 3.10 2:2
england/championship 12/26/2025 00:00:00 Leicester

Watford

2.27 3.46 3.11 1:2
england/championship 11/22/2025 00:00:00 Derby

Watford

2.43 3.16 3.09 2:3