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Neftci Baku - Araz

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: 1

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: -2.14%

📊 Key Factors:
✓ Внимание: Отрицательный тренд ROI в последних матчах ✓ Хорошая текущая форма
⚠️ Risks:
⚠ Отрицательный исторический ROI ⚠ Высокая волатильность в тренде ROI
📈 Detailed Analysis:
На основе комплексного анализа 9 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (5-1-1) vs Гостевая команда (0-0-2)
• Анализ ROI: Дома -2.14%, Ничья -49.67%, Гости -100.00%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 71.4%, Ничья 11.1%, Победа гостей 0.0%
• Текущая форма: Дома 0.67, Гости 0.00

Рекомендуемая ставка: 1 с уровнем уверенности 4%.
Ожидаемая доходность: -2.14% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: �������
Probability Analysis
Home: 71.4%
Draw: 11.1%
Away: 0.0%
Form & Advantage
Home Advantage: 71.4%
Form Difference: 0.67
Value Index: -1.53
Home Form 🔥: 0.67
Guest Form 🔥: 0.00
xG (H/A): 3.00 / 0.70
Current ROI
Home: -2.14%
Draw: -49.67%
Away: -100.00%
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 1X2 Total2.5 BTS
azerbaijan/premier-league 04/11/2026 20:00:00 Neftci Baku Araz 1.37 4.53 6.88 +7=1-1 +6-3 +2-7

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

Neftci Baku

 +5=1-1 +5-2 +2-5

Araz

 +0=0-2 +1-1 +0-2

Total

 +7=1-1 +6-3 +2-7

ROI Progression Analysis

# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 14.03.2021 Neftci Baku vs Sabail 1 37.00% 1 1.37
2 03.09.2022 Neftci Baku vs Sumqayit 1 37.00% 2 2.74
3 23.12.2022 Neftci Baku vs Shamakhi 1 37.00% 3 4.11
4 05.02.2023 Neftci Baku vs Sumqayit 1 37.00% 4 5.48
5 16.03.2023 Neftci Baku vs Kapaz X 9.60% 5 5.48
6 26.04.2023 Neftci Baku vs Turan 1 14.17% 6 6.85
7 23.11.2025 Neftci Baku vs Imisli FK 2 -2.14% 7 6.85
8 11.04.2026 Neftci Baku vs Araz 1 2.75% 8 8.22
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 14.03.2021 Neftci Baku vs Sabail 1 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 03.09.2022 Neftci Baku vs Sumqayit 1 -100.00% 2 0.00
3 23.12.2022 Neftci Baku vs Shamakhi 1 -100.00% 3 0.00
4 05.02.2023 Neftci Baku vs Sumqayit 1 -100.00% 4 0.00
5 16.03.2023 Neftci Baku vs Kapaz X -9.40% 5 4.53
6 26.04.2023 Neftci Baku vs Turan 1 -24.50% 6 4.53
7 22.12.2024 Qarabag vs Araz 1 -35.29% 7 4.53
8 14.08.2025 Omonia vs Araz 1 -43.38% 8 4.53
9 23.11.2025 Neftci Baku vs Imisli FK 2 -49.67% 9 4.53
10 11.04.2026 Neftci Baku vs Araz 1 -54.70% 10 4.53
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 22.12.2024 Qarabag vs Araz 1 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 14.08.2025 Omonia vs Araz 1 -100.00% 2 0.00
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
azerbaijan/premier-league-2022-2023 03/16/2023 00:00:00

Neftci Baku

 Kapaz 1.36 4.42 7.35 2:2
azerbaijan/premier-league-2022-2023 02/05/2023 00:00:00

Neftci Baku

 Sumqayit 1.35 4.34 7.90 2:0
azerbaijan/premier-league-2022-2023 12/23/2022 00:00:00

Neftci Baku

 Shamakhi 1.43 4.24 5.97 3:0
azerbaijan/premier-league-2022-2023 09/03/2022 00:00:00

Neftci Baku

 Sumqayit 1.33 4.49 8.35 3:0
azerbaijan/azerbaijan-cup-2022-2023 04/26/2023 00:00:00

Neftci Baku

 Turan 1.34 4.40 8.11 2:0
azerbaijan/premier-league-2020-2021 03/14/2021 00:00:00

Neftci Baku

 Sabail 1.41 4.28 6.77 4:0
azerbaijan/premier-league 11/23/2025 00:00:00

Neftci Baku

 Imisli FK 1.40 3.98 6.79 2:3
azerbaijan/premier-league 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Neftci Baku

Araz

 1.37 4.43 6.48 2:1
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
azerbaijan/premier-league 12/22/2024 00:00:00 Qarabag

Araz

 1.38 4.37 7.03 2:0
europe/conference-league 08/14/2025 00:00:00 Omonia

Araz

 1.41 4.60 7.04 5:0