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Os Belenenses - Vitoria Guimaraes B

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: X

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: -12.00%

📊 Key Factors:
✓ Положительный тренд ROI в последних матчах
⚠️ Risks:
⚠ Отрицательный исторический ROI ⚠ Высокая волатильность в тренде ROI
📈 Detailed Analysis:
На основе комплексного анализа 8 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (3-1-2) vs Гостевая команда (1-1-0)
• Анализ ROI: Дома -9.50%, Ничья -12.00%, Гости 91.00%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 50.0%, Ничья 25.0%, Победа гостей 50.0%
• Текущая форма: Дома 0.50, Гости 0.67

Рекомендуемая ставка: X с уровнем уверенности 2%.
Ожидаемая доходность: -12.00% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: �������
Probability Analysis
Home: 50.0%
Draw: 25.0%
Away: 50.0%
Form & Advantage
Home Advantage: 0.0%
Form Difference: -0.17
Value Index: -3.00
Home Form 🔥: 0.50
Guest Form 🔥: 0.67
xG (H/A): 0.62 / 0.85
Current ROI
Home: -9.50%
Draw: -12.00%
Away: 91.00%
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 1X2 Total2.5 BTS
portugal/liga-3 04/11/2026 20:00:00 Os Belenenses Vitoria Guimaraes B 1.81 3.52 3.82 +3=2-3 +4-4 +4-4

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

Os Belenenses

 +3=1-2 +4-2 +3-3

Vitoria Guimaraes B

 +1=1-0 +0-2 +1-1

Total

 +3=2-3 +4-4 +4-4

ROI Progression Analysis

# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 01.05.2022 Os Belenenses vs Olhanense 1 81.00% 1 1.81
2 13.12.2024 Os Belenenses vs Covilha X -9.50% 2 1.81
3 23.08.2025 Os Belenenses vs Lusitano GC 1 20.67% 3 3.62
4 04.10.2025 Os Belenenses vs Caldas 2 -9.50% 4 3.62
5 01.03.2026 Os Belenenses vs Amarante 2 -27.60% 5 3.62
6 15.03.2026 Os Belenenses vs Varzim 1 -9.50% 6 5.43
7 11.04.2026 Os Belenenses vs Vitoria Guimaraes B X -22.43% 7 5.43
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 01.05.2022 Os Belenenses vs Olhanense 1 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 13.12.2024 Os Belenenses vs Covilha X 76.00% 2 3.52
3 23.08.2025 Os Belenenses vs Lusitano GC 1 17.33% 3 3.52
4 04.10.2025 Os Belenenses vs Caldas 2 -12.00% 4 3.52
5 04.10.2025 Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes B X 40.80% 5 7.04
6 04.01.2026 Trofense vs Vitoria Guimaraes B 2 17.33% 6 7.04
7 01.03.2026 Os Belenenses vs Amarante 2 0.57% 7 7.04
8 15.03.2026 Os Belenenses vs Varzim 1 -12.00% 8 7.04
9 11.04.2026 Os Belenenses vs Vitoria Guimaraes B X 17.33% 9 10.56
10 11.04.2026 Os Belenenses vs Vitoria Guimaraes B X 40.80% 10 14.08
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 04.10.2025 Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes B X -100.00% 1 0.00
2 04.01.2026 Trofense vs Vitoria Guimaraes B 2 91.00% 2 3.82
3 11.04.2026 Os Belenenses vs Vitoria Guimaraes B X 27.33% 3 3.82
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
portugal/liga-3 12/13/2024 00:00:00

Os Belenenses

 Covilha 1.80 3.38 4.08 2:2
portugal/campeonato-de-portugal-promotion-group-2021-2022 05/01/2022 00:00:00

Os Belenenses

 Olhanense 1.72 3.29 4.66 3:0
portugal/liga-3 08/23/2025 00:00:00

Os Belenenses

 Lusitano GC 1.77 3.47 4.23 1:0
portugal/liga-3 10/04/2025 00:00:00

Os Belenenses

 Caldas 1.88 3.25 3.77 0:2
portugal/liga-3 03/01/2026 00:00:00

Os Belenenses

 Amarante 1.73 3.30 4.82 1:2
portugal/liga-3 03/15/2026 00:00:00

Os Belenenses

 Varzim 1.89 3.31 3.75 3:2
portugal/liga-3 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Os Belenenses

Vitoria Guimaraes B

 1.82 3.50 3.79 0:0
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
portugal/liga-3 10/04/2025 00:00:00 Varzim

Vitoria Guimaraes B

 1.90 3.20 3.76 1:1
portugal/liga-3 01/04/2026 00:00:00 Trofense

Vitoria Guimaraes B

 2.00 3.13 3.68 0:1
portugal/liga-3 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Os Belenenses

Vitoria Guimaraes B

 1.82 3.50 3.79 0:0