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Sirius - Hammarby

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: X

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: 32.38%

📊 Key Factors:
✓ Отличный исторический ROI: 32.38% ✓ Сильная ценность: историческая вероятность 37.5% против подразумеваемой 16.0% ✓ Внимание: Отрицательный тренд ROI в последних матчах
⚠️ Risks:
✓ No significant risks identified
📈 Detailed Analysis:
На основе комплексного анализа 16 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (1-1-3) vs Гостевая команда (2-5-4)
• Анализ ROI: Дома -43.20%, Ничья 32.38%, Гости -59.27%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 20.0%, Ничья 37.5%, Победа гостей 18.2%
• Текущая форма: Дома 0.43, Гости 0.63

Рекомендуемая ставка: X с уровнем уверенности 17%.
Ожидаемая доходность: 32.38% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: �������
Probability Analysis
Home: 20.0%
Draw: 37.5%
Away: 18.2%
Form & Advantage
Home Advantage: 1.8%
Form Difference: -0.20
Value Index: 12.14

Home Form 🔥: 0.43
Guest Form 🔥: 0.63
xG (H/A): 1.60 / 1.57
Current ROI
Home: -43.20%
Draw: 32.38%
Away: -59.27%
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 1X2 Total2.5 BTS
sweden/allsvenskan 04/12/2026 20:30:00 Sirius Hammarby 2.84 3.53 2.24 +5=6-5 +7-9 +8-8

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

Sirius

+1=1-3 +3-2 +3-2

Hammarby

+2=5-4 +4-7 +5-6

Total

+5=6-5 +7-9 +8-8

ROI Progression Analysis

# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 12.05.2021 Sirius vs Elfsborg 2 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 09.07.2023 Sirius vs Hammarby 2 -100.00% 2 0.00
3 03.11.2024 Sirius vs Mjallby X -100.00% 3 0.00
4 14.07.2025 Sirius vs Mjallby 2 -100.00% 4 0.00
5 14.09.2025 Sirius vs GAIS 1 -43.20% 5 2.84
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 12.05.2021 Sirius vs Elfsborg 2 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 08.05.2022 Kalmar vs Hammarby 1 -100.00% 2 0.00
3 28.08.2022 AIK vs Hammarby X 17.67% 3 3.53
4 04.05.2023 Norrkoping vs Hammarby 1 -11.75% 4 3.53
5 25.05.2023 Degerfors vs Hammarby X 41.20% 5 7.06
6 04.06.2023 Halmstad vs Hammarby X 76.50% 6 10.59
7 09.07.2023 Sirius vs Hammarby 2 51.29% 7 10.59
8 21.07.2023 Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby 1 32.38% 8 10.59
9 26.10.2024 Sirius vs Hammarby 2 17.67% 9 10.59
10 03.11.2024 Sirius vs Mjallby X 41.20% 10 14.12
11 10.11.2024 Vasteras SK vs Hammarby 1 28.36% 11 14.12
12 27.04.2025 Hacken vs Hammarby X 47.08% 12 17.65
13 14.07.2025 Sirius vs Mjallby 2 35.77% 13 17.65
14 14.09.2025 Sirius vs GAIS 1 26.07% 14 17.65
15 19.01.2026 Liberec vs Hammarby X 41.20% 15 21.18
16 05.02.2026 Metalist 1925 vs Hammarby 2 32.38% 16 21.18
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 08.05.2022 Kalmar vs Hammarby 1 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 28.08.2022 AIK vs Hammarby X -100.00% 2 0.00
3 04.05.2023 Norrkoping vs Hammarby 1 -100.00% 3 0.00
4 25.05.2023 Degerfors vs Hammarby X -100.00% 4 0.00
5 04.06.2023 Halmstad vs Hammarby X -100.00% 5 0.00
6 21.07.2023 Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby 1 -100.00% 6 0.00
7 26.10.2024 Sirius vs Hammarby 2 -68.00% 7 2.24
8 10.11.2024 Vasteras SK vs Hammarby 1 -72.00% 8 2.24
9 27.04.2025 Hacken vs Hammarby X -75.11% 9 2.24
10 19.01.2026 Liberec vs Hammarby X -77.60% 10 2.24
11 05.02.2026 Metalist 1925 vs Hammarby 2 -59.27% 11 4.48
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
sweden/allsvenskan-2024 11/03/2024 00:00:00

Sirius

Mjallby 2.75 3.61 2.34 1:1
sweden/allsvenskan-2023 07/09/2023 00:00:00

Sirius

Hammarby

2.85 3.47 2.36 1:2
sweden/allsvenskan-2021 05/12/2021 00:00:00

Sirius

Elfsborg 2.98 3.30 2.38 0:2
sweden/allsvenskan 07/14/2025 00:00:00

Sirius

Mjallby 2.72 3.49 2.42 1:2
sweden/allsvenskan 09/14/2025 00:00:00

Sirius

GAIS 2.76 3.51 2.36 3:0
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
sweden/allsvenskan-2024 11/10/2024 00:00:00 Vasteras SK

Hammarby

2.80 3.69 2.27 1:0
sweden/allsvenskan-2024 10/26/2024 00:00:00

Sirius

Hammarby

3.01 3.52 2.21 0:3
sweden/allsvenskan-2023 07/21/2023 00:00:00 Brommapojkarna

Hammarby

2.96 3.50 2.28 1:0
sweden/allsvenskan-2023 06/04/2023 00:00:00 Halmstad

Hammarby

3.08 3.27 2.32 0:0
sweden/allsvenskan-2023 05/25/2023 00:00:00 Degerfors

Hammarby

3.16 3.39 2.21 2:2
sweden/allsvenskan-2023 05/04/2023 00:00:00 Norrkoping

Hammarby

3.14 3.27 2.29 2:0
sweden/allsvenskan-2022 08/28/2022 00:00:00 AIK

Hammarby

2.91 3.47 2.33 2:2
sweden/allsvenskan-2022 05/08/2022 00:00:00 Kalmar

Hammarby

3.45 3.22 2.17 2:0
sweden/allsvenskan 04/27/2025 00:00:00 Hacken

Hammarby

2.84 3.53 2.33 1:1
world/club-friendly 01/19/2026 00:00:00 Liberec

Hammarby

2.52 3.74 2.35 1:1
world/club-friendly 02/05/2026 00:00:00 Metalist 1925

Hammarby

2.71 3.63 2.22 3:4