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Accrington - Fleetwood

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: 2

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: -11.20%

📊 Key Factors:
✓ Хорошая текущая форма
⚠️ Risks:
⚠ Отрицательный исторический ROI
📈 Detailed Analysis:
На основе комплексного анализа 10 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (1-1-3) vs Гостевая команда (2-1-2)
• Анализ ROI: Дома -36.60%, Ничья -36.00%, Гости -11.20%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 20.0%, Ничья 20.0%, Победа гостей 40.0%
• Текущая форма: Дома 0.30, Гости 0.67

Рекомендуемая ставка: 2 с уровнем уверенности 1%.
Ожидаемая доходность: -11.20% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: �������
Probability Analysis
Home: 20.0%
Draw: 20.0%
Away: 40.0%
Form & Advantage
Home Advantage: -20.0%
Form Difference: -0.37
Value Index: -4.48
Home Form 🔥: 0.30
Guest Form 🔥: 0.67
xG (H/A): 0.87 / 1.40
Current ROI
Home: -36.60%
Draw: -36.00%
Away: -11.20%
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 1X2 Total2.5 BTS
england/league-two 04/11/2026 18:00:00 Accrington Fleetwood 3.17 3.20 2.22 +3=2-5 +3-7 +3-7

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

Accrington

 +1=1-3 +2-3 +2-3

Fleetwood

 +2=1-2 +1-4 +1-4

Total

 +3=2-5 +3-7 +3-7

ROI Progression Analysis

# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 18.01.2025 Accrington vs Notts Co 2 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 23.08.2025 Accrington vs Grimsby X -100.00% 2 0.00
3 27.09.2025 Accrington vs Walsall 2 -100.00% 3 0.00
4 17.01.2026 Accrington vs MK Dons 2 -100.00% 4 0.00
5 06.02.2026 Accrington vs Salford 1 -36.60% 5 3.17
6 11.04.2026 Accrington vs Fleetwood 2 -47.17% 6 3.17
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 28.09.2024 Cheltenham vs Fleetwood 2 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 07.12.2024 Swindon vs Fleetwood 1 -100.00% 2 0.00
3 18.01.2025 Accrington vs Notts Co 2 -100.00% 3 0.00
4 12.02.2025 Tranmere vs Fleetwood X -20.00% 4 3.20
5 23.08.2025 Accrington vs Grimsby X 28.00% 5 6.40
6 27.09.2025 Accrington vs Walsall 2 6.67% 6 6.40
7 04.10.2025 Cheltenham vs Fleetwood 1 -8.57% 7 6.40
8 13.12.2025 Newport vs Fleetwood 2 -20.00% 8 6.40
9 17.01.2026 Accrington vs MK Dons 2 -28.89% 9 6.40
10 06.02.2026 Accrington vs Salford 1 -36.00% 10 6.40
11 11.04.2026 Accrington vs Fleetwood 2 -41.82% 11 6.40
12 11.04.2026 Accrington vs Fleetwood 2 -46.67% 12 6.40
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 28.09.2024 Cheltenham vs Fleetwood 2 122.00% 1 2.22
2 07.12.2024 Swindon vs Fleetwood 1 11.00% 2 2.22
3 12.02.2025 Tranmere vs Fleetwood X -26.00% 3 2.22
4 04.10.2025 Cheltenham vs Fleetwood 1 -44.50% 4 2.22
5 13.12.2025 Newport vs Fleetwood 2 -11.20% 5 4.44
6 11.04.2026 Accrington vs Fleetwood 2 11.00% 6 6.66
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
england/league-two 01/18/2025 00:00:00

Accrington

 Notts Co 3.16 3.46 2.14 0:3
england/league-two 08/23/2025 00:00:00

Accrington

 Grimsby 3.20 3.24 2.20 1:1
england/league-two 09/27/2025 00:00:00

Accrington

 Walsall 3.11 3.14 2.27 1:3
england/league-two 01/17/2026 00:00:00

Accrington

 MK Dons 3.13 3.35 2.17 0:2
england/league-two 02/06/2026 00:00:00

Accrington

 Salford 3.21 3.43 2.08 1:0
england/league-two 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Accrington

Fleetwood

 3.08 3.15 2.21 1:2
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
england/league-two 12/07/2024 00:00:00 Swindon

Fleetwood

 3.03 3.39 2.19 3:1
england/league-two 09/28/2024 00:00:00 Cheltenham

Fleetwood

 2.83 3.34 2.32 0:2
england/league-two 02/12/2025 00:00:00 Tranmere

Fleetwood

 3.07 3.30 2.26 0:0
england/league-two 10/04/2025 00:00:00 Cheltenham

Fleetwood

 3.24 3.32 2.13 2:0
england/league-two 12/13/2025 00:00:00 Newport

Fleetwood

 2.95 3.37 2.29 0:2
england/league-two 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Accrington

Fleetwood

 3.08 3.15 2.21 1:2