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Doncaster - Reading

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: 2

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: 28.33%

📊 Key Factors:
✓ Отличный исторический ROI: 28.33% ✓ Сильная ценность: историческая вероятность 33.3% против подразумеваемой 100.0% ✓ Внимание: Отрицательный тренд ROI в последних матчах
⚠️ Risks:
⚠ Ограниченные исторические данные (3 матчей) ⚠ Высокая волатильность в тренде ROI
📈 Detailed Analysis:
На основе комплексного анализа 14 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (4-3-4) vs Гостевая команда (1-0-2)
• Анализ ROI: Дома -32.36%, Ничья -22.43%, Гости 28.33%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 36.4%, Ничья 21.4%, Победа гостей 33.3%
• Текущая форма: Дома 0.80, Гости 0.10

Рекомендуемая ставка: 2 с уровнем уверенности 13%.
Ожидаемая доходность: 28.33% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: �������
Probability Analysis
Home: 36.4%
Draw: 21.4%
Away: 33.3%
Form & Advantage
Home Advantage: 3.0%
Form Difference: 0.70
Value Index: 9.44
Home Form 🔥: 0.80
Guest Form 🔥: 0.10
xG (H/A): 1.73 / 1.03
Current ROI
Home: -32.36%
Draw: -22.43%
Away: 28.33%
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 1X2 Total2.5 BTS
england/league-one 04/12/2026 00:00:00 Doncaster Reading 1.86 3.62 3.85 +6=3-5 +10-4 +11-3

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

Doncaster

 +4=3-4 +8-3 +9-2

Reading

 +1=0-2 +2-1 +2-1

Total

 +6=3-5 +10-4 +11-3

ROI Progression Analysis

# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 07.09.2024 Doncaster vs Gillingham 1 86.00% 1 1.86
2 09.11.2024 Doncaster vs Notts Co X -7.00% 2 1.86
3 15.02.2025 Doncaster vs Grimsby 2 -38.00% 3 1.86
4 08.03.2025 Doncaster vs Swindon X -53.50% 4 1.86
5 12.04.2025 Doncaster vs AFC Wimbledon X -62.80% 5 1.86
6 21.04.2025 Doncaster vs Colchester 1 -38.00% 6 3.72
7 20.09.2025 Doncaster vs AFC Wimbledon 2 -46.86% 7 3.72
8 18.10.2025 Doncaster vs Northampton 2 -53.50% 8 3.72
9 20.12.2025 Doncaster vs Plymouth 2 -58.67% 9 3.72
10 13.01.2026 Doncaster vs Fleetwood 1 -44.20% 10 5.58
11 14.03.2026 Doncaster vs Blackpool 1 -32.36% 11 7.44
12 11.04.2026 Doncaster vs Reading 1 -22.50% 12 9.30
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 07.09.2024 Doncaster vs Gillingham 1 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 09.11.2024 Doncaster vs Notts Co X 81.00% 2 3.62
3 15.02.2025 Doncaster vs Grimsby 2 20.67% 3 3.62
4 01.03.2025 Wigan vs Reading 2 -9.50% 4 3.62
5 08.03.2025 Doncaster vs Swindon X 44.80% 5 7.24
6 12.04.2025 Doncaster vs AFC Wimbledon X 81.00% 6 10.86
7 21.04.2025 Doncaster vs Colchester 1 55.14% 7 10.86
8 02.08.2025 Lincoln vs Reading 1 35.75% 8 10.86
9 13.09.2025 Barnsley vs Reading 1 20.67% 9 10.86
10 20.09.2025 Doncaster vs AFC Wimbledon 2 8.60% 10 10.86
11 18.10.2025 Doncaster vs Northampton 2 -1.27% 11 10.86
12 20.12.2025 Doncaster vs Plymouth 2 -9.50% 12 10.86
13 13.01.2026 Doncaster vs Fleetwood 1 -16.46% 13 10.86
14 14.03.2026 Doncaster vs Blackpool 1 -22.43% 14 10.86
15 11.04.2026 Doncaster vs Reading 1 -27.60% 15 10.86
16 11.04.2026 Doncaster vs Reading 1 -32.12% 16 10.86
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 01.03.2025 Wigan vs Reading 2 285.00% 1 3.85
2 02.08.2025 Lincoln vs Reading 1 92.50% 2 3.85
3 13.09.2025 Barnsley vs Reading 1 28.33% 3 3.85
4 11.04.2026 Doncaster vs Reading 1 -3.75% 4 3.85
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
england/league-two 11/09/2024 00:00:00

Doncaster

 Notts Co 1.90 3.58 3.63 1:1
england/league-two 09/07/2024 00:00:00

Doncaster

 Gillingham 1.84 3.41 4.08 1:0
england/league-two 02/15/2025 00:00:00

Doncaster

 Grimsby 1.77 3.71 4.24 1:2
england/league-two 03/08/2025 00:00:00

Doncaster

 Swindon 1.80 3.60 4.21 2:2
england/league-two 04/12/2025 00:00:00

Doncaster

 AFC Wimbledon 1.90 3.29 4.08 1:1
england/league-two 04/21/2025 00:00:00

Doncaster

 Colchester 1.84 3.43 4.22 3:0
england/league-one 09/20/2025 00:00:00

Doncaster

 AFC Wimbledon 1.91 3.31 4.04 1:2
england/league-one 10/18/2025 00:00:00

Doncaster

 Northampton 1.90 3.45 4.02 1:2
england/league-one 12/20/2025 00:00:00

Doncaster

 Plymouth 1.84 3.61 3.92 1:5
england/efl-trophy 01/13/2026 00:00:00

Doncaster

 Fleetwood 1.83 3.64 3.77 3:1
england/league-one 03/14/2026 00:00:00

Doncaster

 Blackpool 1.90 3.57 3.83 2:1
england/league-one 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Doncaster

Reading

 1.89 3.63 3.80 1:0
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
england/league-one 03/01/2025 00:00:00 Wigan

Reading

 1.97 3.34 3.77 1:2
england/league-one 09/13/2025 00:00:00 Barnsley

Reading

 1.84 3.84 3.74 3:2
england/league-one 08/02/2025 00:00:00 Lincoln

Reading

 1.97 3.32 3.84 2:0
england/league-one 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Doncaster

Reading

 1.89 3.63 3.80 1:0