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Exeter - Stockport County

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: 1

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: 85.00%

📊 Key Factors:
✓ Отличный исторический ROI: 85.00% ✓ Сильная ценность: историческая вероятность 50.0% против подразумеваемой 50.0% ✓ Положительный тренд ROI в последних матчах
⚠️ Risks:
⚠ Ограниченные исторические данные (4 матчей) ⚠ Высокая волатильность в тренде ROI
📈 Detailed Analysis:
На основе комплексного анализа 15 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (2-0-2) vs Гостевая команда (7-3-1)
• Анализ ROI: Дома 85.00%, Ничья -23.93%, Гости 22.18%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 50.0%, Ничья 20.0%, Победа гостей 63.6%
• Текущая форма: Дома 0.60, Гости 0.63

Рекомендуемая ставка: 1 с уровнем уверенности 18%.
Ожидаемая доходность: 85.00% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: �������
Probability Analysis
Home: 50.0%
Draw: 20.0%
Away: 63.6%
Form & Advantage
Home Advantage: -13.6%
Form Difference: -0.03
Value Index: 42.50

Home Form 🔥: 0.60
Guest Form 🔥: 0.63
xG (H/A): 1.53 / 1.22
Current ROI
Home: 85.00%
Draw: -23.93%
Away: 22.18%
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 1X2 Total2.5 BTS
england/league-one 04/12/2026 10:00:00 Exeter Stockport County 3.70 3.55 1.92 +3=3-9 +6-9 +5-10

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

Exeter

+2=0-2 +2-2 +1-3

Stockport County

+7=3-1 +4-7 +4-7

Total

+3=3-9 +6-9 +5-10

ROI Progression Analysis

# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 05.04.2025 Exeter vs Stockport County 2 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 09.08.2025 Exeter vs Blackpool 1 85.00% 2 3.70
3 16.09.2025 Exeter vs Cardiff 2 23.33% 3 3.70
4 06.12.2025 Exeter vs Wycombe 1 85.00% 4 7.40
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 01.10.2024 Shrewsbury vs Stockport County 2 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 23.11.2024 Burton vs Stockport County 2 -100.00% 2 0.00
3 18.01.2025 Reading vs Stockport County 2 -100.00% 3 0.00
4 15.02.2025 Wigan vs Stockport County 2 -100.00% 4 0.00
5 04.03.2025 Northampton vs Stockport County X -29.00% 5 3.55
6 05.04.2025 Exeter vs Stockport County 2 -40.83% 6 3.55
7 05.04.2025 Exeter vs Stockport County 2 -49.29% 7 3.55
8 18.04.2025 Peterborough vs Stockport County X -11.25% 8 7.10
9 09.08.2025 Exeter vs Blackpool 1 -21.11% 9 7.10
10 16.09.2025 Exeter vs Cardiff 2 -29.00% 10 7.10
11 20.09.2025 Rotherham vs Stockport County 2 -35.45% 11 7.10
12 07.10.2025 Salford vs Stockport County 1 -40.83% 12 7.10
13 06.12.2025 Exeter vs Wycombe 1 -45.38% 13 7.10
14 01.01.2026 Northampton vs Stockport County X -23.93% 14 10.65
15 10.02.2026 Port Vale vs Stockport County 2 -29.00% 15 10.65
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 01.10.2024 Shrewsbury vs Stockport County 2 92.00% 1 1.92
2 23.11.2024 Burton vs Stockport County 2 92.00% 2 3.84
3 18.01.2025 Reading vs Stockport County 2 92.00% 3 5.76
4 15.02.2025 Wigan vs Stockport County 2 92.00% 4 7.68
5 04.03.2025 Northampton vs Stockport County X 53.60% 5 7.68
6 05.04.2025 Exeter vs Stockport County 2 60.00% 6 9.60
7 18.04.2025 Peterborough vs Stockport County X 37.14% 7 9.60
8 20.09.2025 Rotherham vs Stockport County 2 44.00% 8 11.52
9 07.10.2025 Salford vs Stockport County 1 28.00% 9 11.52
10 01.01.2026 Northampton vs Stockport County X 15.20% 10 11.52
11 10.02.2026 Port Vale vs Stockport County 2 22.18% 11 13.44
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
england/league-one 04/05/2025 00:00:00

Exeter

Stockport County

3.87 3.25 1.98 0:2
england/league-one 08/09/2025 00:00:00

Exeter

Blackpool 3.63 3.37 2.01 4:1
england/efl-trophy 09/16/2025 00:00:00

Exeter

Cardiff 3.87 3.65 1.78 0:1
england/fa-cup 12/06/2025 00:00:00

Exeter

Wycombe 3.76 3.45 1.94 4:0
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
england/league-one 01/18/2025 00:00:00 Reading

Stockport County

3.72 3.48 1.95 1:3
england/league-one 02/15/2025 00:00:00 Wigan

Stockport County

3.88 3.16 2.00 0:2
england/league-one 11/23/2024 00:00:00 Burton

Stockport County

4.19 3.49 1.83 0:3
england/league-one 10/01/2024 00:00:00 Shrewsbury

Stockport County

3.58 3.46 1.99 0:2
england/league-one 03/04/2025 00:00:00 Northampton

Stockport County

3.89 3.17 2.00 1:1
england/league-one 04/05/2025 00:00:00

Exeter

Stockport County

3.87 3.25 1.98 0:2
england/league-one 04/18/2025 00:00:00 Peterborough

Stockport County

3.51 3.47 2.01 1:1
england/league-one 09/20/2025 00:00:00 Rotherham

Stockport County

3.68 3.62 1.91 0:1
england/efl-trophy 10/07/2025 00:00:00 Salford

Stockport County

3.38 3.64 1.92 3:1
england/league-one 01/01/2026 00:00:00 Northampton

Stockport County

3.96 3.43 1.85 0:0
england/efl-trophy 02/10/2026 00:00:00 Port Vale

Stockport County

3.28 3.45 1.97 0:4