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Lancaster - Gainsborough

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: X

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: 10.67%

📊 Key Factors:
✓ Отличный исторический ROI: 10.67% ✓ Хорошая ценность: историческая вероятность превышает подразумеваемую ✓ Внимание: Отрицательный тренд ROI в последних матчах
⚠️ Risks:
⚠ Высокая волатильность в тренде ROI
📈 Detailed Analysis:
На основе комплексного анализа 12 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (4-4-2) vs Гостевая команда (0-0-2)
• Анализ ROI: Дома -20.40%, Ничья 10.67%, Гости -100.00%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 40.0%, Ничья 33.3%, Победа гостей 0.0%
• Текущая форма: Дома 0.87, Гости 0.00

Рекомендуемая ставка: X с уровнем уверенности 11%.
Ожидаемая доходность: 10.67% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: �������
Probability Analysis
Home: 40.0%
Draw: 33.3%
Away: 0.0%
Form & Advantage
Home Advantage: 40.0%
Form Difference: 0.87
Value Index: 3.56

Home Form 🔥: 0.87
Guest Form 🔥: 0.00
xG (H/A): 2.25 / 0.62
Current ROI
Home: -20.40%
Draw: 10.67%
Away: -100.00%
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 1X2 Total2.5 BTS
england/npl-premier-division 04/12/2026 04:00:00 Lancaster Gainsborough 1.99 3.32 3.33 +6=4-2 +5-7 +5-7

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

Lancaster

+4=4-2 +4-6 +4-6

Gainsborough

+0=0-2 +1-1 +1-1

Total

+6=4-2 +5-7 +5-7

ROI Progression Analysis

# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 25.01.2025 Lancaster vs Hebburn Town X -100.00% 1 0.00
2 22.03.2025 Lancaster vs Morpeth X -100.00% 2 0.00
3 05.04.2025 Lancaster vs Whitby 2 -100.00% 3 0.00
4 25.08.2025 Lancaster vs Workington 1 -50.25% 4 1.99
5 27.09.2025 Lancaster vs Guiseley X -60.20% 5 1.99
6 01.11.2025 Lancaster vs Whitby X -66.83% 6 1.99
7 25.11.2025 Lancaster vs Prescot 1 -43.14% 7 3.98
8 26.12.2025 Lancaster vs Bamber Bridge 2 -50.25% 8 3.98
9 31.01.2026 Lancaster vs Ashton Utd 1 -33.67% 9 5.97
10 14.02.2026 Lancaster vs Leek 1 -20.40% 10 7.96
11 11.04.2026 Lancaster vs Gainsborough 1 -9.55% 11 9.95
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 25.01.2025 Lancaster vs Hebburn Town X 232.00% 1 3.32
2 22.03.2025 Lancaster vs Morpeth X 232.00% 2 6.64
3 05.04.2025 Lancaster vs Whitby 2 121.33% 3 6.64
4 25.08.2025 Lancaster vs Workington 1 66.00% 4 6.64
5 27.09.2025 Lancaster vs Guiseley X 99.20% 5 9.96
6 01.11.2025 Lancaster vs Whitby X 121.33% 6 13.28
7 25.11.2025 Lancaster vs Prescot 1 89.71% 7 13.28
8 26.12.2025 Lancaster vs Bamber Bridge 2 66.00% 8 13.28
9 31.01.2026 Lancaster vs Ashton Utd 1 47.56% 9 13.28
10 14.02.2026 Lancaster vs Leek 1 32.80% 10 13.28
11 07.03.2026 Hebburn Town vs Gainsborough 1 20.73% 11 13.28
12 03.04.2026 Stockton vs Gainsborough 1 10.67% 12 13.28
13 11.04.2026 Lancaster vs Gainsborough 1 2.15% 13 13.28
14 11.04.2026 Lancaster vs Gainsborough 1 -5.14% 14 13.28
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 07.03.2026 Hebburn Town vs Gainsborough 1 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 03.04.2026 Stockton vs Gainsborough 1 -100.00% 2 0.00
3 11.04.2026 Lancaster vs Gainsborough 1 -100.00% 3 0.00
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
england/npl-premier-division 01/25/2025 00:00:00

Lancaster

Hebburn Town 2.05 3.31 3.15 2:2
england/npl-premier-division 03/22/2025 00:00:00

Lancaster

Morpeth 2.02 3.70 3.00 0:0
england/npl-premier-division 04/05/2025 00:00:00

Lancaster

Whitby 2.07 3.56 2.97 0:1
england/npl-premier-division 08/25/2025 00:00:00

Lancaster

Workington 1.93 3.46 3.40 2:0
england/npl-premier-division 09/27/2025 00:00:00

Lancaster

Guiseley 1.97 3.48 3.23 0:0
england/npl-premier-division 11/01/2025 00:00:00

Lancaster

Whitby 1.94 3.61 3.24 0:0
england/npl-premier-division 12/26/2025 00:00:00

Lancaster

Bamber Bridge 1.94 3.47 3.35 1:3
england/npl-premier-division 11/25/2025 00:00:00

Lancaster

Prescot 2.01 3.33 3.29 1:0
england/npl-premier-division 01/31/2026 00:00:00

Lancaster

Ashton Utd 2.05 3.38 3.19 3:2
england/npl-premier-division 02/14/2026 00:00:00

Lancaster

Leek 1.97 3.50 3.29 2:1
england/npl-premier-division 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Lancaster

Gainsborough

1.99 3.23 3.37 3:0
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
england/npl-premier-division 03/07/2026 00:00:00 Hebburn Town

Gainsborough

2.02 3.36 3.27 2:1
england/npl-premier-division 04/03/2026 00:00:00 Stockton

Gainsborough

1.99 3.45 3.21 1:0
england/npl-premier-division 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Lancaster

Gainsborough

1.99 3.23 3.37 3:0