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Penrhyncoch - Gresford

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: 2

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: 38.40%

📊 Key Factors:
✓ Отличный исторический ROI: 38.40% ✓ Сильная ценность: историческая вероятность 40.0% против подразумеваемой 50.0% ✓ Внимание: Отрицательный тренд ROI в последних матчах
⚠️ Risks:
⚠ Высокая волатильность в тренде ROI
📈 Detailed Analysis:
На основе комплексного анализа 7 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (2-0-0) vs Гостевая команда (2-1-2)
• Анализ ROI: Дома 79.00%, Ничья -43.14%, Гости 38.40%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 100.0%, Ничья 14.3%, Победа гостей 40.0%
• Текущая форма: Дома 1.00, Гости 0.30

Рекомендуемая ставка: 2 с уровнем уверенности 15%.
Ожидаемая доходность: 38.40% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: �������
Probability Analysis
Home: 100.0%
Draw: 14.3%
Away: 40.0%
Form & Advantage
Home Advantage: 60.0%
Form Difference: 0.70
Value Index: 15.36
Home Form 🔥: 1.00
Guest Form 🔥: 0.30
xG (H/A): 2.78 / 1.12
Current ROI
Home: 79.00%
Draw: -43.14%
Away: 38.40%
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 1X2 Total2.5 BTS
wales/cymru-north 04/11/2026 17:30:00 Penrhyncoch Gresford 1.79 3.98 3.46 +4=1-2 +5-2 +2-5

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

Penrhyncoch

 +2=0-0 +0-2 +0-2

Gresford

 +2=1-2 +5-0 +2-3

Total

 +4=1-2 +5-2 +2-5

ROI Progression Analysis

# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 24.01.2026 Penrhyncoch vs Brickfield 1 79.00% 1 1.79
2 14.03.2026 Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead 1 79.00% 2 3.58
3 11.04.2026 Penrhyncoch vs Gresford 1 79.00% 3 5.37
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 12.12.2020 Bangor City vs Gresford 1 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 19.07.2024 Flint Mountain vs Gresford 2 -100.00% 2 0.00
3 01.03.2025 Mold Alexandra vs Gresford 2 -100.00% 3 0.00
4 22.08.2025 Flint Mountain vs Gresford X -0.50% 4 3.98
5 15.11.2025 Holyhead vs Gresford 1 -20.40% 5 3.98
6 24.01.2026 Penrhyncoch vs Brickfield 1 -33.67% 6 3.98
7 14.03.2026 Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead 1 -43.14% 7 3.98
8 11.04.2026 Penrhyncoch vs Gresford 1 -50.25% 8 3.98
9 11.04.2026 Penrhyncoch vs Gresford 1 -55.78% 9 3.98
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 12.12.2020 Bangor City vs Gresford 1 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 19.07.2024 Flint Mountain vs Gresford 2 73.00% 2 3.46
3 01.03.2025 Mold Alexandra vs Gresford 2 130.67% 3 6.92
4 22.08.2025 Flint Mountain vs Gresford X 73.00% 4 6.92
5 15.11.2025 Holyhead vs Gresford 1 38.40% 5 6.92
6 11.04.2026 Penrhyncoch vs Gresford 1 15.33% 6 6.92
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
wales/cymru-north 01/24/2026 00:00:00

Penrhyncoch

 Brickfield 1.86 3.72 3.46 1:0
wales/cymru-north 03/14/2026 00:00:00

Penrhyncoch

 Holyhead 1.78 3.68 3.73 1:0
wales/cymru-north 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Penrhyncoch

Gresford

 1.79 3.98 3.46 4:1
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
wales/league-cup 07/19/2024 00:00:00 Flint Mountain

Gresford

 1.73 4.28 3.37 0:3
wales/league-cup-2020-2021 12/12/2020 00:00:00 Bangor City

Gresford

 1.78 3.93 3.62 3:0
wales/cymru-north 03/01/2025 00:00:00 Mold Alexandra

Gresford

 1.75 3.73 3.45 1:3
wales/cymru-north 08/22/2025 00:00:00 Flint Mountain

Gresford

 1.73 4.09 3.57 4:4
wales/cymru-north 11/15/2025 00:00:00 Holyhead

Gresford

 1.83 3.76 3.53 3:0
wales/cymru-north 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Penrhyncoch

Gresford

 1.79 3.98 3.46 4:1