Merthyr Town

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: 2

Confidence Level: 19%

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: 54.87%

📊 Key Factors:

✓ Отличный исторический ROI: 54.87% ✓ Сильная ценность: историческая вероятность 87.5% против подразумеваемой 14.0% ✓ Положительный тренд ROI в последних матчах ✓ Отличная текущая форма

⚠️ Risks:

✓ No significant risks identified

📈 Detailed Analysis:

На основе комплексного анализа 11 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (1-0-2) vs Гостевая команда (7-0-1)
• Анализ ROI: Дома 23.67%, Ничья -100.00%, Гости 54.87%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 33.3%, Ничья 0.0%, Победа гостей 87.5%
• Текущая форма: Дома 0.30, Гости 1.00

Рекомендуемая ставка: 2 с уровнем уверенности 19%.
Ожидаемая доходность: 54.87% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: ��

Probability Analysis

Home: 33.3%

Draw: 0.0%

Away: 87.5%

Form & Advantage

Home Advantage: -54.2%

Form Difference: -0.70

Value Index: 48.01

Home Form 🔥: 0.30

Guest Form 🔥: 1.00

xG (H/A): 0.80 / 2.03

Current ROI

Home: 23.67%

Draw: -100.00%

Away: 54.87%

League	Date/Time	Home Team	Away Team	KF1	KFX	KF2	1X2	Total2.5	BTS
england/national-league-north	04/12/2026 08:00:00	Merthyr Town	Macclesfield	3.71	3.77	1.77	+2=0-9	+6-5	+4-7

League

Date/Time

Home Team

Away Team

KF1

KFX

KF2

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

england/national-league-north

04/12/2026 08:00:00

Merthyr Town

Macclesfield

3.71

3.77

1.77

+2=0-9

+6-5

+4-7

	1X2	Total2.5	BTS
Merthyr Town	+1=0-2	+3-0	+2-1
Macclesfield	+7=0-1	+3-5	+2-6
Total	+2=0-9	+6-5	+4-7

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

+1=0-2

+3-0

+2-1

Macclesfield

+7=0-1

+3-5

+2-6

Total

+2=0-9

+6-5

+4-7

ROI Progression Analysis

#	Date	Match	Result	ROI (%)	Investment	Return
1	19.10.2021	Merthyr Town vs Poole	2	-100.00%	1	0.00
2	06.11.2021	Merthyr Town vs Truro	2	-100.00%	2	0.00
3	11.03.2023	Merthyr Town vs Truro	1	23.67%	3	3.71
4	11.04.2026	Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield	2	-7.25%	4	3.71

#	Date	Match	Result	ROI (%)	Investment
1	19.10.2021	Merthyr Town vs Poole	2	-100.00%	1
2	06.11.2021	Merthyr Town vs Truro	2	-100.00%	2
3	11.03.2023	Merthyr Town vs Truro	1	-100.00%	3
4	07.09.2024	Stockton vs Macclesfield	2	-100.00%	4
5	17.09.2024	FC United vs Macclesfield	2	-100.00%	5
6	07.01.2025	Ashton Utd vs Macclesfield	1	-100.00%	6
7	18.01.2025	Gainsborough vs Macclesfield	2	-100.00%	7
8	15.02.2025	Warrington Rylands vs Macclesfield	2	-100.00%	8
9	14.03.2026	Curzon Ashton vs Macclesfield	2	-100.00%	9
10	24.03.2026	Alfreton vs Macclesfield	2	-100.00%	10
11	31.03.2026	Hereford vs Macclesfield	2	-100.00%	11
12	11.04.2026	Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield	2	-100.00%	12
13	11.04.2026	Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield	2	-100.00%	13

#	Date	Match	Result	ROI (%)	Investment	Return
1	07.09.2024	Stockton vs Macclesfield	2	77.00%	1	1.77
2	17.09.2024	FC United vs Macclesfield	2	77.00%	2	3.54
3	07.01.2025	Ashton Utd vs Macclesfield	1	18.00%	3	3.54
4	18.01.2025	Gainsborough vs Macclesfield	2	32.75%	4	5.31
5	15.02.2025	Warrington Rylands vs Macclesfield	2	41.60%	5	7.08
6	14.03.2026	Curzon Ashton vs Macclesfield	2	47.50%	6	8.85
7	24.03.2026	Alfreton vs Macclesfield	2	51.71%	7	10.62
8	31.03.2026	Hereford vs Macclesfield	2	54.87%	8	12.39
9	11.04.2026	Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield	2	57.33%	9	14.16

League	Date/Time	Home Team	Away Team	KF1	KFX	KF2	Score
england/southern-league-south-division-2022-2023	03/11/2023 00:00:00	Merthyr Town	Truro	3.66	3.87	1.77	2:1
england/southern-league-south-division-2021-2022	11/06/2021 00:00:00	Merthyr Town	Truro	3.73	3.62	1.82	1:3
england/southern-league-south-division-2021-2022	10/19/2021 00:00:00	Merthyr Town	Poole	3.83	3.81	1.75	0:3
england/national-league-north	04/11/2026 00:00:00	Merthyr Town	Macclesfield	3.73	3.75	1.76	1:2

League

Date/Time

Home Team

Away Team

KF1

KFX

KF2

Score

england/southern-league-south-division-2022-2023

03/11/2023 00:00:00

Merthyr Town

Truro

3.66

3.87

1.77

2:1

england/southern-league-south-division-2021-2022

11/06/2021 00:00:00

Merthyr Town

Truro

3.73

3.62

1.82

1:3

england/southern-league-south-division-2021-2022

10/19/2021 00:00:00

Merthyr Town

Poole

3.83

3.81

1.75

0:3

england/national-league-north

04/11/2026 00:00:00

Merthyr Town

Macclesfield

3.73

3.75

1.76

1:2

League	Date/Time	Home Team	Away Team	KF1	KFX	KF2	Score
england/npl-premier-division	01/18/2025 00:00:00	Gainsborough	Macclesfield	3.78	3.78	1.73	0:4
england/npl-premier-division	01/07/2025 00:00:00	Ashton Utd	Macclesfield	3.87	3.86	1.70	1:0
england/npl-premier-division	09/17/2024 00:00:00	FC United	Macclesfield	3.72	3.66	1.79	1:2
england/npl-premier-division	09/07/2024 00:00:00	Stockton	Macclesfield	3.61	3.71	1.79	0:1
england/npl-premier-division	02/15/2025 00:00:00	Warrington Rylands	Macclesfield	3.74	3.49	1.83	1:3
england/national-league-north	03/14/2026 00:00:00	Curzon Ashton	Macclesfield	4.13	3.98	1.70	0:2
england/national-league-north	03/24/2026 00:00:00	Alfreton	Macclesfield	4.55	3.71	1.69	0:2
england/national-league-north	03/31/2026 00:00:00	Hereford	Macclesfield	3.75	3.85	1.76	0:2
england/national-league-north	04/11/2026 00:00:00	Merthyr Town	Macclesfield	3.73	3.75	1.76	1:2

League

Date/Time

Home Team

Away Team

KF1

KFX

KF2

Score

england/npl-premier-division

01/18/2025 00:00:00

Gainsborough

Macclesfield

3.78

1.73

0:4

england/npl-premier-division

01/07/2025 00:00:00

Ashton Utd

Macclesfield

3.87

3.86

1.70

1:0

england/npl-premier-division

09/17/2024 00:00:00

FC United

Macclesfield

3.72

3.66

1.79

1:2

england/npl-premier-division

09/07/2024 00:00:00

Stockton

Macclesfield

3.61

3.71

1.79

0:1

england/npl-premier-division

02/15/2025 00:00:00

Warrington Rylands

Macclesfield

3.74

3.49

1.83

1:3

england/national-league-north

03/14/2026 00:00:00

Curzon Ashton

Macclesfield

4.13

3.98

1.70

0:2

england/national-league-north

03/24/2026 00:00:00

Alfreton

Macclesfield

4.55

3.71

1.69

0:2

england/national-league-north

03/31/2026 00:00:00

Hereford

Macclesfield

3.75

3.85

1.76

0:2

england/national-league-north

04/11/2026 00:00:00

Merthyr Town

Macclesfield

3.73

3.75

1.76

1:2