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Kelty Hearts - Montrose

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: 2

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: 87.20%

📊 Key Factors:
✓ Отличный исторический ROI: 87.20% ✓ Сильная ценность: историческая вероятность 80.0% против подразумеваемой 25.0% ✓ Внимание: Отрицательный тренд ROI в последних матчах
⚠️ Risks:
⚠ Высокая волатильность в тренде ROI
📈 Detailed Analysis:
На основе комплексного анализа 14 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (1-3-5) vs Гостевая команда (4-1-0)
• Анализ ROI: Дома -69.78%, Ничья 11.67%, Гости 87.20%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 11.1%, Ничья 28.6%, Победа гостей 80.0%
• Текущая форма: Дома 0.63, Гости 0.60

Рекомендуемая ставка: 2 с уровнем уверенности 15%.
Ожидаемая доходность: 87.20% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: �������
Probability Analysis
Home: 11.1%
Draw: 28.6%
Away: 80.0%
Form & Advantage
Home Advantage: -68.9%
Form Difference: 0.03
Value Index: 69.76

Home Form 🔥: 0.63
Guest Form 🔥: 0.60
xG (H/A): 1.43 / 1.57
Current ROI
Home: -69.78%
Draw: 11.67%
Away: 87.20%
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 1X2 Total2.5 BTS
scotland/league-one 04/11/2026 22:00:00 Kelty Hearts Montrose 2.72 3.35 2.34 +1=4-9 +7-7 +8-6

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

Kelty Hearts

+1=3-5 +4-5 +5-4

Montrose

+4=1-0 +3-2 +3-2

Total

+1=4-9 +7-7 +8-6

ROI Progression Analysis

# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 12.11.2022 Kelty Hearts vs Montrose 2 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 14.01.2023 Kelty Hearts vs Airdrieonians X -100.00% 2 0.00
3 18.03.2023 Kelty Hearts vs Montrose 2 -100.00% 3 0.00
4 12.08.2023 Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton 2 -100.00% 4 0.00
5 11.11.2023 Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers 2 -100.00% 5 0.00
6 17.12.2024 Kelty Hearts vs Arbroath 1 -54.67% 6 2.72
7 06.12.2025 Kelty Hearts vs Montrose 2 -61.14% 7 2.72
8 31.01.2026 Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton X -66.00% 8 2.72
9 14.02.2026 Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead X -69.78% 9 2.72
10 11.04.2026 Kelty Hearts vs Montrose 1 -45.60% 10 5.44
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 12.03.2022 Peterhead vs Montrose 2 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 12.11.2022 Kelty Hearts vs Montrose 2 -100.00% 2 0.00
3 14.01.2023 Kelty Hearts vs Airdrieonians X 11.67% 3 3.35
4 18.03.2023 Kelty Hearts vs Montrose 2 -16.25% 4 3.35
5 18.03.2023 Kelty Hearts vs Montrose 2 -33.00% 5 3.35
6 01.04.2023 Edinburgh City vs Montrose X 11.67% 6 6.70
7 12.08.2023 Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton 2 -4.29% 7 6.70
8 12.08.2023 Annan vs Montrose 2 -16.25% 8 6.70
9 11.11.2023 Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers 2 -25.56% 9 6.70
10 17.12.2024 Kelty Hearts vs Arbroath 1 -33.00% 10 6.70
11 06.12.2025 Kelty Hearts vs Montrose 2 -39.09% 11 6.70
12 06.12.2025 Kelty Hearts vs Montrose 2 -44.17% 12 6.70
13 31.01.2026 Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton X -22.69% 13 10.05
14 14.02.2026 Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead X -4.29% 14 13.40
15 11.04.2026 Kelty Hearts vs Montrose 1 -10.67% 15 13.40
16 11.04.2026 Kelty Hearts vs Montrose 1 -16.25% 16 13.40
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 12.03.2022 Peterhead vs Montrose 2 134.00% 1 2.34
2 18.03.2023 Kelty Hearts vs Montrose 2 134.00% 2 4.68
3 01.04.2023 Edinburgh City vs Montrose X 56.00% 3 4.68
4 12.08.2023 Annan vs Montrose 2 75.50% 4 7.02
5 06.12.2025 Kelty Hearts vs Montrose 2 87.20% 5 9.36
6 11.04.2026 Kelty Hearts vs Montrose 1 56.00% 6 9.36
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
scotland/league-one-2023-2024 11/11/2023 00:00:00

Kelty Hearts

Cove Rangers 2.75 3.54 2.27 0:1
scotland/league-one-2023-2024 08/12/2023 00:00:00

Kelty Hearts

Hamilton 2.75 3.43 2.32 0:2
scotland/league-one-2022-2023 03/18/2023 00:00:00

Kelty Hearts

Montrose

2.78 3.40 2.30 1:2
scotland/league-one-2022-2023 01/14/2023 00:00:00

Kelty Hearts

Airdrieonians 2.64 3.37 2.42 1:1
scotland/league-one-2022-2023 11/12/2022 00:00:00

Kelty Hearts

Montrose

2.59 3.25 2.52 1:3
scotland/league-one 12/17/2024 00:00:00

Kelty Hearts

Arbroath 2.78 3.47 2.26 3:2
scotland/league-one 12/06/2025 00:00:00

Kelty Hearts

Montrose

2.75 3.19 2.42 0:3
scotland/league-one 01/31/2026 00:00:00

Kelty Hearts

Hamilton 2.69 3.39 2.35 0:0
scotland/league-one 02/14/2026 00:00:00

Kelty Hearts

Peterhead 2.80 3.18 2.38 1:1
scotland/league-one 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Kelty Hearts

Montrose

2.72 3.35 2.34 3:1
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
scotland/league-one-2023-2024 08/12/2023 00:00:00 Annan

Montrose

2.65 3.44 2.39 1:3
scotland/league-one-2022-2023 04/01/2023 00:00:00 Edinburgh City

Montrose

2.87 3.38 2.27 1:1
scotland/league-one-2022-2023 03/18/2023 00:00:00

Kelty Hearts

Montrose

2.78 3.40 2.30 1:2
scotland/league-one-2021-2022 03/12/2022 00:00:00 Peterhead

Montrose

2.89 3.41 2.25 0:1
scotland/league-one 12/06/2025 00:00:00

Kelty Hearts

Montrose

2.75 3.19 2.42 0:3
scotland/league-one 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Kelty Hearts

Montrose

2.72 3.35 2.34 3:1