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Erfurt - Babelsberg

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: X

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: 79.50%

📊 Key Factors:
✓ Отличный исторический ROI: 79.50% ✓ Сильная ценность: историческая вероятность 45.5% против подразумеваемой 20.0% ✓ Положительный тренд ROI в последних матчах
⚠️ Risks:
✓ No significant risks identified
📈 Detailed Analysis:
На основе комплексного анализа 11 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (4-2-0) vs Гостевая команда (0-3-2)
• Анализ ROI: Дома 31.33%, Ничья 79.50%, Гости -100.00%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 66.7%, Ничья 45.5%, Победа гостей 0.0%
• Текущая форма: Дома 0.77, Гости 0.27

Рекомендуемая ставка: X с уровнем уверенности 18%.
Ожидаемая доходность: 79.50% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: �������
Probability Analysis
Home: 66.7%
Draw: 45.5%
Away: 0.0%
Form & Advantage
Home Advantage: 66.7%
Form Difference: 0.50
Value Index: 36.14
Home Form 🔥: 0.77
Guest Form 🔥: 0.27
xG (H/A): 2.60 / 1.67
Current ROI
Home: 31.33%
Draw: 79.50%
Away: -100.00%
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 1X2 Total2.5 BTS
germany/regionalliga-nordost 04/11/2026 20:00:00 Erfurt Babelsberg 1.97 3.59 3.18 +6=5-0 +7-4 +9-2

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

Erfurt

 +4=2-0 +5-1 +4-2

Babelsberg

 +0=3-2 +2-3 +5-0

Total

 +6=5-0 +7-4 +9-2

ROI Progression Analysis

# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 26.11.2022 Erfurt vs Babelsberg 1 97.00% 1 1.97
2 13.12.2024 Erfurt vs Viktoria Berlin 1 97.00% 2 3.94
3 12.04.2025 Erfurt vs Greifswald 1 97.00% 3 5.91
4 31.08.2025 Erfurt vs Magdeburg II 1 97.00% 4 7.88
5 20.09.2025 Erfurt vs Chemnitzer X 57.60% 5 7.88
6 08.11.2025 Erfurt vs Zwickau X 31.33% 6 7.88
7 11.04.2026 Erfurt vs Babelsberg 1 40.71% 7 9.85
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 26.11.2022 Erfurt vs Babelsberg 1 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 26.11.2022 Erfurt vs Babelsberg 1 -100.00% 2 0.00
3 29.01.2023 Chemie Leipzig vs Babelsberg X 19.67% 3 3.59
4 14.02.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig vs Babelsberg 1 -10.25% 4 3.59
5 13.12.2024 Erfurt vs Viktoria Berlin 1 -28.20% 5 3.59
6 07.03.2025 Altglienicke vs Babelsberg X 19.67% 6 7.18
7 12.04.2025 Erfurt vs Greifswald 1 2.57% 7 7.18
8 03.08.2025 Meuselwitz vs Babelsberg X 34.62% 8 10.77
9 31.08.2025 Erfurt vs Magdeburg II 1 19.67% 9 10.77
10 20.09.2025 Erfurt vs Chemnitzer X 43.60% 10 14.36
11 08.11.2025 Erfurt vs Zwickau X 63.18% 11 17.95
12 11.04.2026 Erfurt vs Babelsberg 1 49.58% 12 17.95
13 11.04.2026 Erfurt vs Babelsberg 1 38.08% 13 17.95
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 26.11.2022 Erfurt vs Babelsberg 1 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 29.01.2023 Chemie Leipzig vs Babelsberg X -100.00% 2 0.00
3 14.02.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig vs Babelsberg 1 -100.00% 3 0.00
4 07.03.2025 Altglienicke vs Babelsberg X -100.00% 4 0.00
5 03.08.2025 Meuselwitz vs Babelsberg X -100.00% 5 0.00
6 11.04.2026 Erfurt vs Babelsberg 1 -100.00% 6 0.00
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
germany/regionalliga-nordost-2022-2023 11/26/2022 00:00:00

Erfurt

Babelsberg

 2.02 3.61 3.16 6:2
germany/regionalliga-nordost 12/13/2024 00:00:00

Erfurt

 Viktoria Berlin 1.93 3.50 3.41 3:0
germany/regionalliga-nordost 04/12/2025 00:00:00

Erfurt

 Greifswald 2.05 3.57 3.11 2:0
germany/regionalliga-nordost 08/31/2025 00:00:00

Erfurt

 Magdeburg II 2.03 3.75 3.08 3:1
germany/regionalliga-nordost 09/20/2025 00:00:00

Erfurt

 Chemnitzer 1.92 3.41 3.57 2:2
germany/regionalliga-nordost 11/08/2025 00:00:00

Erfurt

 Zwickau 2.01 3.53 3.20 2:2
germany/regionalliga-nordost 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Erfurt

Babelsberg

 2.03 3.60 3.09 4:2
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
germany/regionalliga-nordost-2022-2023 02/14/2023 00:00:00 Lokomotive Leipzig

Babelsberg

 2.02 3.45 3.28 4:3
germany/regionalliga-nordost-2022-2023 01/29/2023 00:00:00 Chemie Leipzig

Babelsberg

 2.13 3.40 3.04 1:1
germany/regionalliga-nordost-2022-2023 11/26/2022 00:00:00

Erfurt

Babelsberg

 2.02 3.61 3.16 6:2
germany/regionalliga-nordost 03/07/2025 00:00:00 Altglienicke

Babelsberg

 2.06 3.33 3.33 1:1
germany/regionalliga-nordost 08/03/2025 00:00:00 Meuselwitz

Babelsberg

 2.11 3.47 3.03 1:1
germany/regionalliga-nordost 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Erfurt

Babelsberg

 2.03 3.60 3.09 4:2