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Real Sociedad - Alaves

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: 2

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: 6.50%

📊 Key Factors:
✓ Хороший исторический ROI: 6.50% ✓ Положительный тренд ROI в последних матчах
⚠️ Risks:
⚠ Ограниченные исторические данные (4 матчей) ⚠ Высокая волатильность в тренде ROI
📈 Detailed Analysis:
На основе комплексного анализа 14 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (4-3-3) vs Гостевая команда (1-1-2)
• Анализ ROI: Дома -26.40%, Ничья 4.29%, Гости 6.50%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 40.0%, Ничья 28.6%, Победа гостей 25.0%
• Текущая форма: Дома 0.37, Гости 0.50

Рекомендуемая ставка: 2 с уровнем уверенности 10%.
Ожидаемая доходность: 6.50% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: �������
Probability Analysis
Home: 40.0%
Draw: 28.6%
Away: 25.0%
Form & Advantage
Home Advantage: 15.0%
Form Difference: -0.13
Value Index: 1.62

Home Form 🔥: 0.37
Guest Form 🔥: 0.50
xG (H/A): 2.17 / 2.30
Current ROI
Home: -26.40%
Draw: 4.29%
Away: 6.50%
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 1X2 Total2.5 BTS
spain/laliga 04/11/2026 16:00:00 Real Sociedad Alaves 1.84 3.65 4.26 +6=4-4 +7-7 +7-7

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

Real Sociedad

+4=3-3 +5-5 +4-6

Alaves

+1=1-2 +2-2 +3-1

Total

+6=4-4 +7-7 +7-7

ROI Progression Analysis

# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 18.08.2024 Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano 2 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 28.09.2024 Real Sociedad vs Valencia 1 -8.00% 2 1.84
3 28.11.2024 Real Sociedad vs Ajax 1 22.67% 3 3.68
4 26.01.2025 Real Sociedad vs Getafe 2 -8.00% 4 3.68
5 30.01.2025 Real Sociedad vs PAOK 1 10.40% 5 5.52
6 07.02.2025 Real Sociedad vs Osasuna 1 22.67% 6 7.36
7 17.02.2025 Real Sociedad vs UPNFM X 5.14% 7 7.36
8 02.03.2025 Real Sociedad vs Juticalpa X -8.00% 8 7.36
9 24.08.2025 Real Sociedad vs Espanyol X -18.22% 9 7.36
10 12.12.2025 Real Sociedad vs Girona 2 -26.40% 10 7.36
11 11.04.2026 Real Sociedad vs Alaves X -33.09% 11 7.36
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 18.08.2024 Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano 2 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 28.09.2024 Real Sociedad vs Valencia 1 -100.00% 2 0.00
3 26.10.2024 Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves 1 -100.00% 3 0.00
4 28.11.2024 Real Sociedad vs Ajax 1 -100.00% 4 0.00
5 26.01.2025 Real Sociedad vs Getafe 2 -100.00% 5 0.00
6 30.01.2025 Real Sociedad vs PAOK 1 -100.00% 6 0.00
7 07.02.2025 Real Sociedad vs Osasuna 1 -100.00% 7 0.00
8 17.02.2025 Real Sociedad vs UPNFM X -54.37% 8 3.65
9 02.03.2025 Real Sociedad vs Juticalpa X -18.89% 9 7.30
10 20.04.2025 Sevilla vs Alaves X 9.50% 10 10.95
11 24.08.2025 Real Sociedad vs Espanyol X 32.73% 11 14.60
12 12.12.2025 Real Sociedad vs Girona 2 21.67% 12 14.60
13 09.03.2026 Valencia vs Alaves 1 12.31% 13 14.60
14 22.03.2026 Celta Vigo vs Alaves 2 4.29% 14 14.60
15 11.04.2026 Real Sociedad vs Alaves X 21.67% 15 18.25
16 11.04.2026 Real Sociedad vs Alaves X 36.87% 16 21.90
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 26.10.2024 Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves 1 -100.00% 1 0.00
2 20.04.2025 Sevilla vs Alaves X -100.00% 2 0.00
3 09.03.2026 Valencia vs Alaves 1 -100.00% 3 0.00
4 22.03.2026 Celta Vigo vs Alaves 2 6.50% 4 4.26
5 11.04.2026 Real Sociedad vs Alaves X -14.80% 5 4.26
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
europe/europa-league 11/28/2024 00:00:00

Real Sociedad

Ajax 1.86 3.55 4.27 2:0
spain/laliga 09/28/2024 00:00:00

Real Sociedad

Valencia 1.84 3.25 5.04 3:0
spain/laliga 08/18/2024 00:00:00

Real Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano 1.76 3.37 5.41 1:2
spain/laliga 01/26/2025 00:00:00

Real Sociedad

Getafe 1.93 2.90 5.18 0:3
europe/europa-league 01/30/2025 00:00:00

Real Sociedad

PAOK 1.75 3.58 4.93 2:0
spain/copa-del-rey 02/07/2025 00:00:00

Real Sociedad

Osasuna 1.75 3.52 4.91 2:0
honduras/liga-nacional 02/17/2025 00:00:00

Real Sociedad

UPNFM 1.90 3.28 3.79 1:1
honduras/liga-nacional 03/02/2025 00:00:00

Real Sociedad

Juticalpa 1.91 3.33 3.68 0:0
spain/laliga 08/24/2025 00:00:00

Real Sociedad

Espanyol 1.88 3.47 4.37 2:2
spain/laliga 12/12/2025 00:00:00

Real Sociedad

Girona 1.79 3.69 4.56 1:2
spain/laliga 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Real Sociedad

Alaves

1.85 3.66 4.28 3:3
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
spain/laliga 10/26/2024 00:00:00 Rayo Vallecano

Alaves

2.02 3.10 4.30 1:0
spain/laliga 04/20/2025 00:00:00 Sevilla

Alaves

2.08 3.02 4.14 1:1
spain/laliga 03/09/2026 00:00:00 Valencia

Alaves

2.08 3.06 4.05 3:2
spain/laliga 03/22/2026 00:00:00 Celta Vigo

Alaves

1.97 3.31 4.26 3:4
spain/laliga 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Real Sociedad

Alaves

1.85 3.66 4.28 3:3