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Nurnberg - SG Dynamo Dresden

Betting Analysis & Recommendations

🎯 Recommendation: X

Risk Level: Очень высокий

Expected Value: 79.08%

📊 Key Factors:
✓ Отличный исторический ROI: 79.08% ✓ Сильная ценность: историческая вероятность 46.2% против подразумеваемой 16.0% ✓ Внимание: Отрицательный тренд ROI в последних матчах ✓ Хорошая текущая форма
⚠️ Risks:
⚠ Высокая волатильность в тренде ROI
📈 Detailed Analysis:
На основе комплексного анализа 13 исторических матчей с похожими коэффициентами:

• Домашняя команда (4-3-2) vs Гостевая команда (1-3-0)
• Анализ ROI: Дома -16.44%, Ничья 79.08%, Гости -8.75%
• Оценка вероятностей: Победа дома 44.4%, Ничья 46.2%, Победа гостей 25.0%
• Текущая форма: Дома 0.60, Гости 0.80

Рекомендуемая ставка: X с уровнем уверенности 17%.
Ожидаемая доходность: 79.08% ROI на основе исторической эффективности.
Уровень риска: �������
Probability Analysis
Home: 44.4%
Draw: 46.2%
Away: 25.0%
Form & Advantage
Home Advantage: 19.4%
Form Difference: -0.20
Value Index: 36.50
Home Form 🔥: 0.60
Guest Form 🔥: 0.80
xG (H/A): 1.10 / 1.37
Current ROI
Home: -16.44%
Draw: 79.08%
Away: -8.75%
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 1X2 Total2.5 BTS
germany/2-bundesliga 04/11/2026 17:00:00 Nurnberg SG Dynamo Dresden 1.88 3.88 3.65 +4=6-3 +6-7 +7-6

1X2

Total2.5

BTS

Nurnberg

 +4=3-2 +3-6 +3-6

SG Dynamo Dresden

 +1=3-0 +3-1 +4-0

Total

 +4=6-3 +6-7 +7-6

ROI Progression Analysis

# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 28.02.2021 Nurnberg vs Braunschweig X -100.00% 1 0.00
2 14.03.2021 Nurnberg vs VfL Osnabruck X -100.00% 2 0.00
3 17.09.2021 Nurnberg vs Hansa Rostock 1 -37.33% 3 1.88
4 20.03.2022 Nurnberg vs SG Dynamo Dresden X -53.00% 4 1.88
5 24.04.2022 Nurnberg vs Sandhausen 2 -62.40% 5 1.88
6 12.08.2022 Nurnberg vs Heidenheim 2 -68.67% 6 1.88
7 25.02.2023 Nurnberg vs Sandhausen 1 -46.29% 7 3.76
8 20.01.2024 Nurnberg vs Hansa Rostock 1 -29.50% 8 5.64
9 16.02.2025 Nurnberg vs Ulm 1 -16.44% 9 7.52
10 11.04.2026 Nurnberg vs SG Dynamo Dresden 2 -24.80% 10 7.52
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 28.02.2021 Nurnberg vs Braunschweig X 288.00% 1 3.88
2 14.03.2021 Nurnberg vs VfL Osnabruck X 288.00% 2 7.76
3 17.09.2021 Nurnberg vs Hansa Rostock 1 158.67% 3 7.76
4 20.03.2022 Nurnberg vs SG Dynamo Dresden X 191.00% 4 11.64
5 24.04.2022 Nurnberg vs Sandhausen 2 132.80% 5 11.64
6 08.05.2022 Karlsruher SC vs SG Dynamo Dresden X 158.67% 6 15.52
7 12.08.2022 Nurnberg vs Heidenheim 2 121.71% 7 15.52
8 25.02.2023 Nurnberg vs Sandhausen 1 94.00% 8 15.52
9 20.01.2024 Nurnberg vs Hansa Rostock 1 72.44% 9 15.52
10 16.02.2025 Nurnberg vs Ulm 1 55.20% 10 15.52
11 03.05.2025 Arminia Bielefeld vs SG Dynamo Dresden X 76.36% 11 19.40
12 14.09.2025 Elversberg vs SG Dynamo Dresden X 94.00% 12 23.28
13 21.11.2025 Bochum vs SG Dynamo Dresden 2 79.08% 13 23.28
14 11.04.2026 Nurnberg vs SG Dynamo Dresden 2 66.29% 14 23.28
15 11.04.2026 Nurnberg vs SG Dynamo Dresden 2 55.20% 15 23.28
# Date Match Result ROI (%) Investment Return
1 08.05.2022 Karlsruher SC vs SG Dynamo Dresden X -100.00% 1 0.00
2 03.05.2025 Arminia Bielefeld vs SG Dynamo Dresden X -100.00% 2 0.00
3 14.09.2025 Elversberg vs SG Dynamo Dresden X -100.00% 3 0.00
4 21.11.2025 Bochum vs SG Dynamo Dresden 2 -8.75% 4 3.65
5 11.04.2026 Nurnberg vs SG Dynamo Dresden 2 46.00% 5 7.30
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
germany/2-bundesliga-2022-2023 02/25/2023 00:00:00

Nurnberg

 Sandhausen 1.86 3.40 4.35 1:0
germany/2-bundesliga-2022-2023 08/12/2022 00:00:00

Nurnberg

 Heidenheim 1.92 3.61 3.74 0:3
germany/2-bundesliga-2021-2022 04/24/2022 00:00:00

Nurnberg

 Sandhausen 1.88 3.57 4.00 2:4
germany/2-bundesliga-2021-2022 03/20/2022 00:00:00

Nurnberg

SG Dynamo Dresden

 1.82 3.55 4.32 1:1
germany/2-bundesliga-2021-2022 09/17/2021 00:00:00

Nurnberg

 Hansa Rostock 1.82 3.53 4.31 1:0
germany/2-bundesliga-2020-2021 03/14/2021 00:00:00

Nurnberg

 VfL Osnabruck 1.92 3.33 4.17 1:1
germany/2-bundesliga-2020-2021 02/28/2021 00:00:00

Nurnberg

 Braunschweig 1.91 3.41 4.08 0:0
germany/2-bundesliga-2023-2024 01/20/2024 00:00:00

Nurnberg

 Hansa Rostock 1.90 3.64 3.80 3:0
germany/2-bundesliga 02/16/2025 00:00:00

Nurnberg

 Ulm 1.94 3.63 3.62 2:0
germany/2-bundesliga 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Nurnberg

SG Dynamo Dresden

 1.88 3.91 3.68 0:2
League Date/Time Home Team Away Team KF1 KFX KF2 Score
germany/2-bundesliga-2021-2022 05/08/2022 00:00:00 Karlsruher SC

SG Dynamo Dresden

 1.92 3.62 3.73 2:2
germany/3-liga 05/03/2025 00:00:00 Arminia Bielefeld

SG Dynamo Dresden

 1.96 3.56 3.50 1:1
germany/2-bundesliga 09/14/2025 00:00:00 Elversberg

SG Dynamo Dresden

 1.94 3.73 3.59 2:2
germany/2-bundesliga 11/21/2025 00:00:00 Bochum

SG Dynamo Dresden

 1.92 3.61 3.83 1:2
germany/2-bundesliga 04/11/2026 00:00:00

Nurnberg

SG Dynamo Dresden

 1.88 3.91 3.68 0:2